| ⟨Ψ| Connecting... |Ψ⟩ |
Flat tolerance across all horizons.
Read the Board's live accuracy band for each horizon.
| Horizon | Typical Band | Horizon | Typical Band |
|---|---|---|---|
| T+3m | 0.015–0.070% | T+3h | 0.34–0.75% |
| T+5m | 0.04–0.11% | T+12h | 0.8–1.5% |
| T+15m | 0.08–0.20% | T+24h | 1.0–2.5% |
| T+30m | 0.13–0.26% | T+3d | 1.5–4.0% |
| T+1h | 0.19–0.44% | T+7d | 2.5–7.0% |
baseline = live_price is not a baseline.
Use: Momentum, VWAP drift, EMA slope, Random walk.
N=20 and a conclusion. Your "65%" is a coin flip.
| Horizon | Min | Preferred |
|---|---|---|
| T+3m–T+1h | 200 | 500+ |
| T+3h–T+24h | 100 | 300+ |
| T+3d–T+30d | 30 | 60+ |
| Metric | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Direction Hit | Called direction? |
| MAE % | Average error |
| Band Compliance | Board honest? (85%+ = calibrated) |
| Baseline Edge | +ve = alpha |
| Asymmetry | <1 = money |
| Profit Factor | >2 strong |
$83 / $71,438 = 0.12%. Say the percentage. Or say nothing.
"1,200 BTC samples at T+5m: MAE 0.068%, band compliance 89%, direction hit 71%."
"20 samples on BNB with ±0.25% tolerance."
Look at any asset on this board. Note the LIVE $ price and a future column (e.g. T+3m or T+5m).
Wait the corresponding time (3 min for T+3m, 5 min for T+5m, etc.).
Check the real price on CoinMarketCap, Binance, Yahoo Finance, or Google. Compare. That's it.
| Column | Meaning |
|---|---|
| LIVE $ | Current derived price (updates every 60s) |
| MOM | Momentum — how fast price is moving right now |
| T+3m ~ T+30d | Derived price at that time in the future |
| Color | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Green number | Price going UP from current |
| Red number | Price going DOWN from current |
| Grey | Little to no change |
| Horizon | Typical Error | Example |
|---|---|---|
| T+3m ~ T+1h | 0.01 ~ 0.4% | $7 ~ $280 on BTC |
| T+3h ~ T+24h | 0.3 ~ 2.5% | Band widens with time |
| T+3d ~ T+30d | 1.5 ~ 7% | Macro structure zone |